Last week, capital markets displayed notable resilience in the face of nonstop geopolitical drama and political headlines. Investors largely looked through events such rising tensions abroad, questions about the Fed’s independence, and aggressive affordability initiatives, focusing instead on stable macro fundamentals. Equity markets continued to benefit from broadening leadership, with small- and mid-cap equities and international markets outperforming traditional mega-cap growth exposure. Inflation data remained stable, extending the trend of moderating price pressures, and economic reports showed strong consumer spending, low layoffs, and upbeat GDP estimates.
Corporate earnings trends remain constructive, with expectations for a tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year profit growth led by strength across all eleven S&P 500 sectors. Fixed income markets saw yields drift modestly higher, driven in part by speculation over the next Federal Reserve Chair and persistent strength in economic data. Meanwhile, commodity markets reflected ample global supply, with crude prices remaining near five-year lows despite geopolitical risks. Altogether, the week reinforced a consistent theme: fundamentals—not headlines—continue to drive markets forward.